Question. Does increasing the concentration of hydrochloric acid
increase the rate of its reaction with marble chips?
Hypothesis with a mechanism. Increasing the concentration increases
the rate, and approximately in proportion, because a reaction occurs only where acid
particles collide with the marble surface. Raising the concentration places more
hydrogen ions in each unit volume of solution, so a given point on the surface is
struck more often. The energy of each collision is unchanged, since the temperature is
unchanged, so the fraction of collisions that succeed is the same and only the
frequency rises.
Independent variable. Concentration of hydrochloric acid, at five
levels: 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0 and 2.5 mol/L, prepared by diluting a 2.5 mol/L stock using
M1V1 equals M2V2 and made up in volumetric
flasks. Five levels rather than two, because two points cannot show whether the
relationship is proportional or merely increasing.
Dependent variable. Rate of reaction, measured as the time in seconds
to collect a fixed volume of 50 cm3 of carbon dioxide in a gas syringe, then
converted to a rate in cm3 per second by dividing 50 by that time.
Converting to a rate matters: times are inversely related to rates, so a graph of time
against concentration curves while a graph of rate against concentration should be a
straight line if the hypothesis holds, and a straight line is far easier to judge.
Controlled variables, and why each matters.
Mass of marble, fixed at 5.0 g weighed to two decimal places. More marble means more
surface and a faster reaction, which would confound the concentration effect entirely.
Form of the marble, fixed by using chips from the same batch sieved to a narrow size
range. Surface area is the variable most likely to vary accidentally, since chips from
a jar differ considerably in size, and the trial-A-against-trial-C comparison in the
argument task shows it can produce a threefold effect on its own.
Volume of acid, fixed at 50 cm3. This also ensures the acid is in excess at
every concentration, which is necessary so that the marble is never the limiting
reactant; if it were, the lowest concentration might not produce 50 cm3 of
gas at all.
Temperature, held at room temperature and recorded for each run, with all runs done in
one session. Temperature has a large effect through the fraction of collisions
exceeding the activation energy, so a drift across the session would be mistaken for a
concentration effect.
Also controlled: the same gas syringe and conical flask, the same stopper fitted
immediately, and the timer started at the moment of mixing rather than at the first
bubble.
Method. Weigh 5.0 g of sieved marble chips into the conical flask.
Measure 50 cm3 of the first acid concentration in a measuring cylinder.
Record the acid temperature. Add the acid, immediately fit the stopper connected to the
gas syringe, and start the timer. Stop the timer when the syringe reads 50
cm3. Rinse and dry the apparatus, and repeat. Do five runs at each
concentration, twenty-five in total, and randomize the order in which the
concentrations are tested so that any drift in room temperature across the session does
not fall systematically on one level.
Replication and analysis. Five runs per concentration. For each, take
the mean time and the range, discarding any run in which the stopper was fitted slowly
enough to lose gas. Convert each mean time to a rate. Plot rate against concentration
with the range shown as error bars, and judge whether the points lie on a straight line
through the origin, which is what strict proportionality predicts.
What would falsify the hypothesis. If the rate is the same at 0.5 and
2.5 mol/L within the ranges of the repeats, concentration does not affect the rate and
the hypothesis is wrong. A weaker falsification of the proportionality claim would be a
graph that is clearly curved, or a line that does not pass near the origin, either of
which would show that the relationship is not the simple proportionality the collision
argument predicts. Both outcomes are possible and would be reported.
Known weaknesses. Some gas escapes between adding the acid and fitting
the stopper, and the loss is largest at the highest concentration where the reaction
starts fastest, which is a systematic error biasing against the hypothesis. The marble
chips are consumed during each run, so the surface area falls as the reaction proceeds
and the rate measured to 50 cm3 is an average rather than an initial rate;
using a smaller fixed volume such as 20 cm3 would reduce this. Chips also
vary in shape even when sieved, which is why five repeats are needed rather than
three.
Check it against the frame. One independent variable with its levels, a dependent variable with units, controlled variables named individually, replication with a summary method, a hypothesis carrying its mechanism, and a falsifying result written down before any data exist. A design missing the last of those cannot be tested.